[excerpt from Joaquín Morales Solá's editorial @ La Nación, 6 February 2011]
Will Cristina or [Daniel] Scioli be [Mauricio] Macri's opponent? Will Scioli [governor of the Buenos Aires province] face both the President and Macri [mayor of Buenos Aires]? All the questions end in the same unresolved unknown: what will Cristina do? . . .
The electoral map is consolidating into three parts. One is Kirchnerismo, accompanied by an important nucleus of Peronismo. Another is the center-right, that runs from Macri to other flavors of Peronismo. And the last part is anti-Peronismo, which ranges from the Radicalists and Elisa Carrió, to the anti-Kirchner left. If it ends up this way, in the first round of voting the President couldn't collect more than 35% of the votes. She'd be in for a second round of voting and a parliamentary composition even worse than the present. With that Congressional power distribution, the Kirchner block wouldn't be able to pass any key legislation. . . .
The Kirchner universe divides between the fanatics & the Peronistas. The first admire her and detest Scioli, who they don't trust on principle. They come from the Peronista left, from the battles of the 70s, and they recognize a certain leadership in the Presidential Legal and Technical Secretary, Carlos Zannini. The Peronistas favor Julio De Vido from the Planning Ministry, who always labels himself a Peronista, a pragmatist, and one who does what's possible.
Read Rosendo Fraga's view here.
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